Wednesday, July 24, 2013

If You Can't Beat 'em, Cheat 'em!


...The GOP's block the vote efforts


Given that...
~The concept of 'one person, one vote' is at the heart of Democracy and is a fundamental right of all American citizens         ~

and that...
~The "right to vote" is constitutionally ‘guaranteed’ by the 15th, 19th, 23rd, 24th and 26th amendments, that collectively restrict the tactics states may use to try to prevent people from voting~

It is an egregious violation of the job of elected politicians and borders on treason against the citizens of the United States when a political party intentionally tries to prevent people from voting .

Meet the new Tea Party GOP

(or, as I call them due to their constant nay-saying, negativity and noxious lies about President Obama "The Troll Party Republicans")

 CONCLUSION BASED ON  A PREPONDERANCE OF EVIDENCE;
~The various Voter I.D. laws being passed have nothing to do with preventing fraud but are instead intended to reduce Democratic votes by making it harder for potential Democratic voters to cast a ballot. ~


{NOTE: A List of numbered footnotes is pasted at the end of this documentl}


1.  GOP state Legislatures Are Passing Voter I.D. Laws (VIDLs)
    ~Generally, if a state has a Republican Governor they are signed into law, if they have a Democratic Governor the Voter I.D. Laws are vetoed. Many of the laws have been struck down by SCOTUS   *{1}.

2. There is no voter fraud by impersonation

     ~Voter Impersonation Fraud is statistically zero (o%). *{2}
According to the Brennan Center, in elections across several states from 2000 to 2004 the documented fraud rate never approached the 1% mark.

 There are numerous studies and reporting from virtually every state that all reflect the same reality, there has been virtually no voter fraud by impersonation. This is strong evidence that the real purpose of VIDLs is not to prevent fraud. It simply doesn’t exist.


3. Voter I.D. Laws are a Waste of Taxpayer Money
   ~Budget-conscious state officials would not spend money out of the State Treasury on what is at most a handful of questionable ballots unless there were some other benefit to do so. Winning elections is just such a benefit *{3} This is more strong evidence that preventing voter fraud isn’t the reason for VIDLs.

4. Voter I.D. Laws disproportionately affect black and other minority voters
    ~The I.D.s allowed in each state differ, and in every case the I.D.s allowed are ones Republican voters are more likely to have, and Democratic voters lack.  A classic example of this is Texas, where a State College Student I.D. is not allowed, but a concealed weapon gun permit is. This type of variation in the methods and procedures is highly incriminating, the odds of it happening by chance and in every case favoring one party over another is, statistically-speaking, Vastly Improbable. *{4}. One claim commonly made about about voter I.D.s is that 'everyone has a driver's license' or 'if you can't produce a photo I.D. something is wrong with you'. Both of these are ignorant claims, as the evidence shows.

5.  Voter I.D. Laws are a de-facto Poll Tax
The VIDs required are not free, and are often difficult to acquire.  By requiring an I.D. which costs the voter money, it has the effect of being a Poll Tax, which would be a violation of the 24th Amendment *{5}. IN addition to the racially discriminatory outcomes of VIDLs, they violate the spirit of the Constitution, which tries to make sure everyone gets to exercise their Constitutional right to vote.

6. In addition to VIDLs, GOP officials have used several other tactics to make it more difficult for Democratic voters to cast a ballot.  
These measures include;
a) Limiting the hours the polls are open;
 b) Reducing the # of booths in Democratic polling places;
c) Lowering the time in which registration forms must be submitted
d) Reducing the number of offices where VIDs can be obtained
e) Making it a felony to turn in a registration with a false name on it (these two tactics virtually eliminated voter-registration drives, which tended to register far more Democrats than Republicans);
f) 'Scrubbing' the voter-registration rolls; and
g) Making robo-calls with incorrect dates to 'remind people to vote' on the wrong day.   *{6}


7. GOP Officials publicly stated VIDLs helped them in elections

    ~Various Republicans in state offices have said publicly that the VIDL law was the reason they did better in that state than predicted. *{7}

8. SCOTUS Eliminated protections against discriminatory laws
    ~In a 5-4 ideological split vote in 2013, the SCOTUS ended a Constitutional requirement that some or all areas in 15 states get advance approval from the Justice Department or a panel of federal judges for all changes to voting laws, procedures and even polling place locations. That provision was enacted because those states had been found to discriminate in the past. *{8}
  

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FOOTNOTES:

(Note to Troll Party Right Wingers (I won't insult real Republicans, whom we desperately need, by calling these fact-deprived tea partiers 'republicans'): this is how you present evidence for your claims. Yes, it's more difficult than just writing any old bullshit you can dream up, but it also stops you from sounding like an ignorant buffoon)


*{1}  ______________________________________
State-by-state list of Voter I.D. Laws

In 2011, Republicans in 38 states introduced legislation that would make state-approved photo-ID cards a requirement to vote. Seven states signed it into law: Alabama, Florida, Kansas, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, and Wisconsin.

*{2}  _______________________________________
Allegations of double voting are among the most common assertions of voter fraud. According to the Brennan Center report, in elections across several states from 2000 to 2004 the documented fraud rate never approached the 1 percent mark.   (emphasis added)
In fact, for Missouri in 2000 and 2002 the documented fraud rate was 0.0003 percent; in 2004 it was zero in New Hampshire and 0.0002 percent in New Jersey; in 2004 there were no substantiated reports of any intentional double voting in Wisconsin; and in New York the documented fraud rate was 0.000009 percent.


“Vote Fraud, Intimidation, & Suppression in the 2004 Presidential Election,”
Author Mark Hearne, American Center for Voting Rights 2005
This 72 page document is the only one produced by the highly-partisan ACVR,  it reported no documented account of any individual impersonating another at a polling place. Yet it recommended that “states should adopt legislation requiring government-issued photo ID at the polls and for any voter seeking to vote by mail or by absentee ballot.” (emphasis added)

* {3 }_______________________________________
2012 Final Report  from the Voting Rights Institute

“We found that if each of these 35 states enacts photo ID legislation, taxpayers across the country will pay at least $276 million and up to $828 million for this unnecessary legislation”












* {4}_______________________________________
The Wisconsin Legislative Fiscal Bureau, for example, found that 20 percent of Wisconsin’s residents do not now have the identification required to vote. That includes 70 percent of African-Americans under the age of 25, 177,000 elderly people, 36 percent of young voters, and approximately 224,000 college students whose student ID cards fail to meet their state’s new ID requirement. In brief: a lot of potential Democratic voters. Similar biases against minority voters can be found in every voter-suppression bill enacted across the country.  (emphasis added)


 Prior to 2006, no state required a voter to show a government-issued photo ID card in order to vote.
The suppressive effects of these bills are well-documented: 11 percent of Americans—approximately 23 million citizens of voting age lack proper photo ID and, as a result, could be turned away from the polls on Election Day. Those without photo ID are disproportionately low-income, disabled, minority, young, and older voters. Numerous non-partisan organizations have debunked claims of widespread voter fraud, the purported basis for these laws.   (emphasis added)

*{5}  _______________________________________
The 24th Amendment Section 1.
“The right of citizens of the United States to vote in any primary or other election for President or Vice President, for electors for President or Vice President, or for Senator or Representative in Congress, shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or any State by reason of failure to pay poll tax or other tax.”

*{6}  _______________________________________
Florida has reduced the number of early voting days, cut in half the number of early voting hours, ended voting on the final Sunday before the election, and imposed tough restrictions on civic groups conducting voter-registration campaigns.
Testifying at a Senate Judiciary subcommittee hearing on January 25, University of Florida political science Professor Daniel A. Smith questioned the color-blind provisions in Florida’s 2011 law:
[Even though African Americans comprised only 13 percent of total voters and 22 percent of early voters in Florida in the 2008 General Election, they accounted for 31 percent of early voters on the final Sunday of early voting. Hispanic voters, who comprised 11 percent of total voters and 11 percent of early voters in the 2008 general election, accounted for 22 percent of the early voters on the final Sunday of early voting. By closing polling places on Sunday, Florida shuts down the nonpartisan, church-based “Souls to the Polls” campaigns in African-American and Hispanic congregations.

According to a study from NYU's Brennan Center, 11 percent of voting-age citizens lack necessary photo ID while many people in rural areas have trouble accessing ID offices.
(emphasis added)



*{6}  _______________________________________
Robo-calls by GOP to deceive Democratic voters:
Arizona
http://gawker.com/5958045/robocalls-from-gop-congressman-send-democratic-voters-to-polling-places-miles-away-from-their-precinct
Wisconsin
Florida
Massachussetts
http://holliston-hopkinton.patch.com/groups/politics-and-elections/p/robo-call-says-election-is-wednesday
Maryland, Mississippi, and others
http://www.866ourvote.org/issues/deceptive/through-the-years


*{7}  _______________________________________
"Pro-Second Amendment? The Castle Doctrine, it's done," said Turzai. "First pro-life legislation -- abortion facility regulations -- in 22 years, done. Voter ID, which is gonna allow Governor Romney to win the state of Pennsylvania, done."
(emphasis added)

Incredibly, the guy admits openly to 3 different tactics the GOP is using to thwart the will of the majority in the USA. Abortions are a right guaranteed in the Constitution, yet the GOP is doing everything they can to make it de-facto illegal.

Not quite as egregious but still a fully bogus issue is the continuing claim by Republicans that requiring I.D. and background checks for purchasing a gun is tantamount to ‘taking away our guns”. No one has said anything about abridging the 2nd Amendment nor about taking away anyone's legal right to buy a gun, yet Right Wing talking heads and bloggers have used this lie to gin up opposition to even the most basic attempts to keep our nation safer from massacres by making it more difficult for unstable people to purchase military-grade weaponry.

It is interesting to note that the Troll Party Congressional rookies don’t want to require an I.D. to buy a sub-machine gun to try to prevent violent massacres of innocent people, but are totally committed to demanding a photo I.D. to prevent non-existent voter fraud. 
*{8}  _______________________________________
In a 5-4 ideological split vote in 2013, SCOTUS ended a Constitutional requirement that some or all areas in 15 states get advance approval from the Justice Department or a panel of federal judges for all changes to voting laws, procedures and even polling place locations. That provision was enacted because those states had been found to discriminate in the past. Some of them in the recent past, like the last election. 

Addendum:
As soon as SCOTUS ruled that the federal government needed to update the rule (and charged the heavily-partisan Congress to do so, which of course they won't), several states that had Voter I.D. Laws that had ALREADY BEEN FOUND UNCONSTITUTIONAL wasted no time in putting those same laws into effect. Keep in mind that SCOTUS didn't say those plans were OK, only that the power the Federal government had to require them to be submitted for approval had to be updated, so the Feds didn't have jurisdiction to demand oversight under the current plan.

So the states that had these Voter I.D. schemes blocked under the Constitution  Texas for one, went head with discriminatory Voter I.D. Laws., thereby proving the need for such oversight, thereby proving that SCOTUS was wrong in their judgement. Incredible.
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57595695/after-voting-rights-act-ruling-states-tighten-voting-laws/


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RATIONAL THOUGHTS ON AN IRRATIONAL SCHEME

It shouldn't matter what your name is or that we identify voters by name, so long as you don't vote twice you should get to vote if you are an American citizen.
 
 If everyone lined up in a big long line, no names would be needed, just step up, mark your ballot and be done with it. The only possible reason names are needed is to ensure the right person votes and no one votes twice. Since you must be registered to vote, you shouldn't need tpo use your name. You just need a way to link you to the registration (ie..voter # 183664). This thought experiment leads us to the realization that the correct place to deter any kind of Impersonation Fraud is in the registration process.

Even taking the time to research and write this blog post is spending too much time on the problem of voter fraud by impersonation, there is so little of it.  It is virtually impossible for any level of voter impersonation to work to any significant level, because the person who was supposed to vote would then not get a vote. It's far too much work to get away with than would be other types of fraud. How is fraud by impersonation going to work? The answer is it won't, and that's one of the reasons there hasn't been any. 

If the GOP were truly interested in stopping fraud, there are plenty of other places to look, the 2000 and 2004 elections provided many opportunities for an investigation.

Another place to look for fraud would be the company called 
Voters Outreach of America, that the GOP hired to register voters in 2012, and that ended up throwing away reams of registrations of people who registered Democratic.

So there are types of fraud that do exist, but the one type of fraud that doesn't occur is voter impersonation.

Another strong clue to the GOPs' real intentions is the variety of types of ID acceptable in different states. 

A 'real,  serious plan' to enact Voter I.D. at polling place would take place  years ahead of time, with plenty of time for voters to be well-prepared. A single system, or perhaps one or two variances would be enacted, and the types of I.D. required would be any reasonable I.D., with the intent to allow as many people to continue to vote as possible. The government would do an outreach program to assist the poor, the disabled and/or the elderly people who might have difficulty in obtaining the proper I.D.  The thrust of the effort would be to make sure that people weren't being disenfranchised.
That is NOT how the Troll Party GOP went about it.

One things that would NOT happen in an honest effort would be that in every case, the types of I.D. denied would not ALL be strongly Democratic.  Without intent, such a result is statistically referred to as Vastly Improbable, which is to say impossible. 

The fact that it has ended up like that is a telling clue to the GOPs' real agenda:
 ~Make it so hard for Democrats to vote in some areas that you significanlty reduce the number of votes, possibly changing the results of the election.~

If the Republicans were honestly trying to clean up elections, they would take a look at the way the 2000 and 2004 elections were run, things like Diebold installing last-minute software updates in Georgia voting machines, for instance, and how the statistically impossible happened when Max Cleland lost a race in which he was 14% points ahead the last few days before the election.  Or the wide-scale disenfranchisement of voters undertaken by the secretary of state Katheryn Harris in Florid, where she 'scrubbed the voter rolls' to supposedly remove names that shouldn't be on the list, but in reality removed thousands of people who are qualified to vote. The process Ms. Harris used was to remove 'black' sounding names.

 Those are well documented incidents where real fraud is highly likely to have taken place. There is simply no reason to enact Voter I.D. laws other than it's a barely plausible excuse for legally preventing thousands of Democratic voters from casting a ballot, if one is willing to hold their nose and close their eyes and ears one can do things like this



It is interesting to note (and aggravating to contemplate) that the troll party congressional rookies don’t want to require an I.D. to buy an automatic weapon, despite the very real danger from such weapons, but are totally committed to preventing non-existent voter fraud.   It is virtually impossible to reconcile these two things with a straight face unless one admits to the obvious, the Voter I.D. Laws do make sense because the real purpose of them is to help the GOP win elections.
 

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Antisocial Insecurity From The 1983 GOP

Reprinted in its' entirety from NationofChange.org

http://www.nationofchange.org/1983-strategy-behind-today-s-social-security-attacks-1365514721

THE 1983 STRATEGY BEHIND TODAYS' SOCIAL SECURITY ATTACKS


Suppose you’re in a bar and you overhear a couple of guys in the next booth talking about a plan to steal from people’s houses. As you eavesdrop the plan unfolds: one will come to the front door pretending to be from the gas company warning the homeowner about a gas leak down the street. While he distracts the homeowner at the front door, the other one will sneak in the back door and take stuff.
So the next day the doorbell rings, and there’s a guy saying he is from the gas company. He says he wants to talk a while to warn you about a gas leak down the street…
This is what is happening with this constant drumbeat of attacks on Social Security. The attack on Social Security never goes away, it only escalates. As we go into this next round of attacks — this time it is even coming from the President* — it is more than useful to understand the background of this campaign against the program.
Make your voice heard. Tell your elected representatives that you oppose these cuts. And tomorrow — Tuesday, April 9th at 12:30PM EST — we are going to deliver hundreds of thousands of petitions directly to the White House telling Obama: No cuts to Social Security, Medicare or Medicaid benefits. Click here to RSVP and find out more details.
The 1983 “Leninist Strategy” Plan To Privatize Social Security
In 1983 a couple of conservative “think tanks” developed a step-by-step plan to privatize Social Security, for the benefit of “the banking industry and other business groups.” The plan describes a strategy to convince people that Social Security is going broke and that it is a “Ponzi scheme,” to undermine confidence in the program and lead people to accept that it needs “reform.” The plan outlines methods to “neutralize” opposition. The plan involves a smokescreen strategy of saying things to distract people from seeing what they are doing.
This strategy for attacking Social Security was spelled out in a 1983 document from the Cato Institute (previously named the Koch Foundation), with Heritage Foundation input. You can read the original document for yourself, it is titled Achieving A Leninist Strategy. Please, if you have time, read the entire document (in particular the section “Weakening the Opposition”) to understand the strategy that has been unfolding in the years since, but the following quotes give you an idea:
“Lenin recognized that fundamental change is contingent upon … its success in isolating and weakening its opponents. … we would do well to draw a few lessons from the Leninist strategy.”
“…construct … a coalition that will … reap benefits from the IRA-based private system … but also the banks, insurance companies, and other institutions that will gain from providing such plans to the public.”
“The first element consists of a campaign to achieve small legislative changes that embellish the present IRA system, making it in practice a small-scale private Social Security system.
“The second main element … involves what one might crudely call guerrilla warfare against both the current Social Security system and the coalition that supports it.”
“The banking industry and other business groups that can benefit from expanded IRAs …” “… the strategy must be to propose moving to a private Social Security system in such a way as to … neutralize … the coalition that supports the existing system.”
“The next Social Security crisis may be further away than many people believe. … it could be many years before the conditions are such that a radical reform of Social Security is possible. But then, as Lenin well knew, to be a successful revolutionary, one must also be patient and consistently plan for real reform.”
Michael Hiltzik wrote about this strategy last year in the LA Times, Attacks on Social Security, Medicare borrow a strategy from Lenin,
Let’s go back to the original strategy brief by Stuart Butler and Peter Germanis. Their piece, “Achieving a ‘Leninist’ Strategy,” appeared in the Cato Institute’s Cato Journal for fall 1983. Anguished over President Reagan’s failure to exploit Social Security’s 1982 fiscal crisis to privatize the program, they concluded that the reason was the program’s strong support among the powerful voting bloc of seniors.
The answer, they concluded, was to “neutralize” elderly voters while continuing to undermine confidence in Social Security among the young. Their model was the Leninist movement’s “success in isolating and weakening its opponents.”
Any plan to change Social Security, they wrote, “must therefore be neutral or (better still) clearly advantageous to senior citizens … the most powerful element of the coalition that opposes structural reform.”
The young, by contrast, were not organized to support privatization, and uninformed about its virtues. The task of filling the knowledge gap, they argued, could best be performed by “the business community and financial institutions in particular … both through their commercial advertising and through public relations.”
So Now You Know
If you know there is a plan do something that harms you, and you know the plan describes a smokescreen strategy where things are said to distract people from seeing what is happening to them, and then you see the plan unfold step by step … you can stop reacting to the cover story outlined in the plan meant to distract you. You can start fighting back.
Read the plan, and then the next time they say “Social Security is going broke” or “Social Security is making the debt worse” you’ll see what is going on in a whole different way. Social Security is not “going broke” and Social Security does not add to the debt.
After reading this, these constant attacks take on a whole new light. You see it unfolding and say to yourself, “Oh, they’re doing that,” and “wow, it’s right out of the original strategy document!”
Article image
Sort of like “Wow, those guys in the bar were talking about MY house!” So now, when they come to the door, you know what they are up to.
Past Posts
Understand The Rights Attack On Social Security,
Here is what to take away from this: Every time you hear that “Social Security is going broke” you are hearing a manufactured propaganda point that is part of a decades-old strategy. Every time you hear that “Social Security is a Ponzi scheme” you are hearing that strategy in operation. Every time you hear that “Social Security won’t be there for me anyway” ” you are witnessing that strategy unfold.
Washington Post Joins Wall Street Sneak Attack On Social Security,
Don’t fall for it. If they can gut Social Security they stand to make a lot of money but you stand to lose your retirement.
Fairy-Tale Social Security Policy,
A popular Boogeyman is “Social Security is going broke.” This fable originated from a 1983 Cato Institute Journal document, “Achieving a Leninist Strategy” by Stuart Butler of Cato and Peter Germanis of the Heritage Foundation. The document laid out a long-term strategic plan to dismantle Social Security. Part of the idea was to manufacture public beliefs like those we hear repeated (and repeated and repeated) today, “Social Security is going broke” and “Social Security is a Ponzi scheme.”

Saturday, March 30, 2013

Show me The Money!

This is a few stills from a video on youtube that is very interesting, and somewhat disturbing.

Her's the link to the full motion video where I captured these stills

http://youtu.be/JTj9AcwkaKM

The first chart we will look at shows what socialism would look like, basically every one has the same amount (looks pretty good from the cheap seats!)



 Now here is what Americans THINK the distribution of wealth in America is, along with a second  bar graph that shows what we think would be a ideal distribution of wealth.


 





 Both of those look good to me.








Let's look at the same data using a X,Y graph.
This is what Americans THINK the actual distribution of wealth is in the USA

 
















Now here's the shocker, let's see what the actual distribution of wealth is
using the same style chart:



Take a good look, we can see over to the left, the poor hardly register on this chart. We have to move quite a way up the income ladder to reach the middle class, and honestly, it is hardly any better than the lower middle class or the poor.






Now look to the right of the chart. The first steep climb is for 10% of the people. The almost vertical lines represent the top 1%, the wealth for the goes right off the top of the chart!

But to really represnt it on this graph, we have to cut the lines down and stack them next to each other.



What we are looking at is that the top 1% are so wealthy, not only would their wealth not fit on the graph, but we have to dissect it into ten pieces to even show it on the chart. Add all those lines together and you have a 1% that is Very Very wealthy. In fact, they have the same amount of overall wealth as the bottom 40% of Americans added together



That is a mind-bogging statistic to me.


 
While American workers were improving their productivity, and working more hours, and while the businesses they work in are all profitable, the workers did not share in any reward for working at the company and doing a great job.






A Hole In My Head, the Title Song

There's a hole in my head
Where my thoughts leak out
Sometimes it's a whisper
Sometimes it's a shout
When I talk about the world
There's so much to be said
So I'm reaching out to you
Through this hole in my head, in my head.

When I look out these holes
in my head I see a lot
While some of it is good
at other times it's not
When I look I try to see the good
and leave aside the rest
When I look at the world
I see the world
at it's best, at it's best

When I listen to the world
Through these holes in my head
Though I hear a lot of talking
There's so much that isn't said
About how we all could live together
Try to get along
When I listen to the world
I hear the world sing it's song, sing it's song

When I breathe
through these holes in my head
I smell the roses
A thousand different fragrances
I concentrate on those
I could rush around to breathe in just the smell of success
But it seems I'd rather Stop.
And smell the flowers,
I guess




A song by J.R. Reynolds



2020 Vision: Stimulus Work Programs instead of Disability?

This is the first installment in my new series
"2020 Vision: A Clear Look at America's Future"

This information came from an Outstanding, Interesting and perhaps Alarming article at pbs.org about the steep rise in Americans who receive disability payments.

The article includes these graphs and quotes, and a lot more and is worth reading in full.

Here it is, I'll wait........

:  http://apps.npr.org/unfit-for-work/


Ok, you want to be Persuaded? Wined and Dined? Wooed?

Here are the appetizers....



This chart shows the number of people formerly in the work force who now receive disability:



It turns out that as Welfare shrank, Disability Grew.  This is an improvement nonetheless, people receiving disability are, after all, in pain and unable to work, by definition. They also paid into the system, and receive benefits according to those payments made when they were working.

Still, it is expensive. The article at pbs.org takes your emotions back and forth, one minute seeing the plight of desperate formerly hard-working Americans who  can no longer do the jobs they intended to retire from, then back to the desire of most people to see everyone pitch i and earn their keep, then forth once again to the very real suffering and the unhappy lot in life some of the people drew, than back, well, you get the picture. If not, here's a handy chart, direct from the article

The unemployment rate is also affected by the number of people on disability:





One thing that author found was that there is a monetary advantage for tthe states to move people off of state-financed medicare or other health plans, and move them into the Federally funded disability program.  So the States finance outside companies to attract and assist people within in their state who can qualify and so be moved to a different funding source wlll away from the state's budget.

And here we go forth again to a 'business-lens' with which to view the growth of disability in America.

I found the author,  Chana Joffe-Walt, to be well balanced in the approach, and to bring up all sides of the issue, despite how it might appear by showing all the numbers and the rising costs without the context of people who have been approved by a several doctors and a judge prior to receiving anything back from a system they helped finance, and who are undoubtedly in pain a good deal of the time, as I do here. (You still with me? Read it again if you need to. Good!)

Yet plenty of people who have jobs go to work also in pain, what is the difference?

One difference is that lower-educated workers tend to have more physical jobs, and it is harder to do a job on your feet all day, lifting, moving things, working a line, &c than it is to sit at a desk and work on the computer.

In one town the author looks at, the factory closed, and there simply are no jobs for people who might be able to work a little, but are not able to move or to travel a long commute to work for low wages in a backbreaking job.  The allure of disability is obvious under these circumstances.

But as Joffe-Walt points out, Americans don't want to deny people the assistance they need, but also don't want to be played for chumps.




I know from personal experience, the disability system is not well-set-up for someone to transition to work, or to work some to supplement the payments they receive.

The threat of losing hard-earned benefits is real, and it just makes no sense for someone to make the huge effort to be productive i some fashion if they risk losing the money they depend on to survive.

 Almost no one who goes onto Federal Disability ever comes off of it.

This should be a chart showing that:

 but I don't see it.

Regardless,

It is no picnic being poor and living on benefits, anyone who tells you it is is simply wrong.

I am that person, I had a thriving video production business, was working in independent production in the film and commercial industry, and had many other pursuits, chief among them Ultimate Competition, Ultimate Tournaments and a training camp, and an acting career doing Pirate Treasure Hunts on the beach and Murder mysteries on the Savannah Riverboat.

I was working on five different productions the week I went into the hospital. I left a production meeting for a checkup, and had to call in due to the brain tumor.

I can assure you, it was a far easier life when I was working 50-55 hours a week, was buys all the time and had money to do things with than it is to try to manage on the meager money people receive on benefits, especially with some of these ailments listed below (like the segue to the chart?)




What about the Children? I don't know, what about them? Here's a chart about them as well.

I guess you could say they are getting good training for when they grow up and are on adult disability. No, don't say that! (and let's pretend I didn't say it either, ok?)




 All of this brings us to the question that has been begged all along, What to do about it?

With 2020 Vision, we can clearly see that it is preferable for the government to receive some kind of return on the money spent to assist our fellow citizens.

Everyone can do something, most people would prefer being productive, especially if it brought in a little extra money to ease the stress of affording food, healthcare and other basic family costs without endangering the benefits they receive.

With 2020 Vision, we can clearly see that a program such as the WPA (Works Progress Administration) is a viable plan that would bring many benefits: we put the large work force that is currently idle to work rebuilding our crumbling infrastructure, and we utilize the disabled and displaced for part-time and less strenuous tasks in support of the program. We further steer as many of our safety net recipients as we can into productive, contributing 'jobs', providing childcare, cooking, shopping, many of the things they do now for themselves could be organized into service for those who need it, reducing the cost to government elsewhere in the system.

The money spent doing this will reduce unemployment and disability costs, and will provide us with a market of consumers that will have the ability to buy things.

Stimulus investment can even be outsourced if the seed money can be guaranteed a profitable return down the line, if the investors know that a return is certain, they will gladly pout up most of the money, and the actual cost to government may never materialize.

Regardless how the investment is funded, Demand will then have the resources to push Supply to perform. The guaranteed markets for the materials to run the program, along with a stronger & resurgent middle class will pry lose the trillions of dollars currently sitting idle waiting for a better investment climate to appear.

That is how the cycle gets started, prime the economic engine and give it some gas (with some solar shining on it's face and some wind at it's back, to stretch the metaphor) and it will roar to life chewing up products and services like dirt under a dune buggy (adding an alliterative simile to the linguistic imagery) until our debt disappears under a white cloud of smoke as credit cards rip through readers generating heat from the friction of an economic drag race as consumerism and capitalism race side-by-side down the drag strip of our financial future without a caution flag. (to jump right over the top in a wheelie of linguistic - oh, never mind)

 2020 Vision gives us a clear view of the changing weather on the economic front (returning to the original metaphor of two paragraphs ago)

Conservatives will be satisfied that the 'free-riders' no longer have a free walk in the park on a sunny day, while Liberals will be pleased that we aren't allowing the weakest and least fortune among us to suffer unnecessarily under storm clouds of economic uncertainty

Moderates will be overjoyed that common sense, logic and rational thinking are being brought to the service of our country once again after a long hiatus, and that I am out of metaphors at long last.








Friday, March 8, 2013

ObamaGolf: The False Outrage of the GOP

I was struck by the recent complaints from the GOP about Obama playing golf. 

What could that have to do with the sequester?  With the very real suffering that ordinary Americans will go through because the tea party was willing to let the sequester become law rather than eliminate corporate subsidies or tax the extremely wealthy Americans who have profited so much this past decade, what does it matter if the president gets away to play some golf?

OMG!  Was Obama wasting taxpayer money?  

 Was the outrage legitimate?


In a word, "NO"

Here's the breakdown:


President Obama has been on vacation 78 days from 2009 to 2011, and in his first year was on vacation less than the previous three Republican Presidents. In his first year, Obama took 26 days of vacation.

President Bush spent 32% of his presidency on vacation. He was on vacation more — 1,020 days — than any U.S. President since Herbert Hoover. GW Bush took off 69 days in his first year.


What about the rest of the Presidents?


Reagan spent all or part of 335 days in Santa Barbara over his 8 year presidency, 42 days in his first year.

Bush the elder took 40 days his first year,

Eisenhower was on vacation for 456 days during his 8 years in office, 57 if his first year was average

But there are two Presidents who took fewer vacation days than Obama!

Presidents Clinton and Carter vacationed the least of any of the last seven chief executives.

Presidents Clinton took 21 days his first year, and only 174 in eight years

President Carter took just 19 days his first year.


So the three Presidents who took the fewest days off are, in order, Carter, Clinton, and Obama.





Hmmm, is there a pattern here?

Even President Franklin D. Roosevelt, who was in office 12 years from 1933 to 1945, was on vacation fewer days than President Bush, at 958 days

Oh, but it's not about the number of days, it is the cost of the trips!


How about that?


Bush used Air Force One 77 times to go to his ranch in Crawford, TX. Using the low end cost of $56,800, each trip to Crawford cost taxpayers $259,687 each time, or $20 million total for Bush’s ranch flights.

If cost of the flight was the only expense involved to taxpayers Bush’s vacations would still seem rather economical, but there is more, much more. Unlike the Obama’s $4 million Christmas vacation price tag, which includes the cost of everything, from transportation to accommodations for the First Family, the White House staff, and the White House press corps. Bush’s numbers only include the cost of flying the president to Crawford. The cost of transporting and accommodating staff, media, friends and family is not included in Bush’s vacation numbers. 

Oh, ok, not really particularly expensive, especially when compared to flying Air Force 1 on vacation, then taking a few 'one-day-work-breaks' where he would fly to an event for an hour or two, and then fly back to Crawford later that same day, so it wouldn't seem like he was taking too much time off.

And we certainly can't bring up the fact of the looming sequester cuts to call foul on Obama, when Bush was involved in two wars and a deeply sliding economy that was squandering Clinton's surplus years. 

The truth is that every modern President has had to deal with a deficit and times when the economy is less than solid, and they all also need some time to relax and to get away from the demands of the job. Now is no different.


Consider this quote:

"The reality of the matter is that no matter where they go or what they do, Presidential trips are going to be expensive, because the Secret Service has to go, first to check out the security of the site, then enough of them need to go along with the President to provide security for him, his family and everyone else that goes."*


*As said out loud by me, a few minutes ago

It is unfair of the Republicans to berate President Obama for his vacation time, he is taking less vacation time than any of the GOP Presidents, and as we have seen, Democratic Administrations take far fewer vacation days than those of the GOP.

So in the end, it turns out that the 'Obama Golf' hysteria is just part of the "False Outrage Machine" that the GOP gins up anytime they can distort a few facts and build a whole misinformation campaign against Obama.

"Tee It Up, John, and get out your 'Lyin' Iron'
"Obama is playing Golf!"



Oh, and Golf? Turns out that John Boehner once told Golf Digest that he plays upwards of 100 rounds a year. Obama played 104 rounds from 2009 to August 2012.  So when we talk about hypocrisy, if we can be outraged at Obama, we should be doubly outraged at the politicians who were a lot worse, which, coincidentally, are all Republicans.




Here are some deeper historical facts, which in my view don't mean much, things change and circumstances are different, and I don't begrudge any President time off, I just care about how well they do the job. But it's fun to consider....

  • In 1798, President John Adams left the capital for seven months to care for his ailing wife Abigail; his enemies said he practically relinquished his office.
  • Thomas Jefferson and James Madison routinely went away for three- and four-month stretches. 
  • Abraham Lincoln, during the Civil War, was blasted for spending about 25 percent of his time away from the White House.   (see? Bush is just like Lincoln!)
  • Dwight Eisenhower took long summer breaks in Denver and spent almost every single weekend at Camp David.
  • John F. Kennedy rarely spent a weekend in the White House, staying at family homes in Palm Beach, Hyannis Port, and the Virginia countryside.
  •  Lyndon Johnson spent 484 days in five and a half years at his Texas ranch.
  • Ronald Reagan was away for 436 days, usually at Rancho del Cielo (his mountaintop retreat in California) or Camp David.

  • Bill Clinton, who didn't own a vacation home, loved to party with his elite friends in Martha's Vineyard and the Hamptons.    
  • George W. Bush spent 32 months at his ranch (490 days) or Camp David (487 days) — an average of four months away every year.   WE HAVE A WINNER!






Don't Pay Your Bills! (or how to be a Tea Party Person)

warning: this is sarcasm, and not very subtle sarcasm at that. In truth it may be mean spirited sarcasm as well. it certainly isn't funny. Just in case any really stupid people read this (as opposed to writing it), It's about the debt ceiling insanity. So I apologize if you are offended. Oh hell, no I don't, I meant to offend some people. (unless you are my mother, then I sincerely apologize and I am just kidding).  Otherwise, fuck it. read at your own risk.


Here's a great way to control your families' finances. First, run up a bunch of bills, cable TV, Internet, a couple of cell phone bills, maybe some credit card charges for groceries, and of course that vacation at Sea World that the kids loved so much.

Then, when it comes time to pay those bills, 
refuse pay themYeah, just refuse to pay the bills you already owe, unless the family agrees to give up food, their bedrooms, Doctor checkups, new clothes and a bunch of other stuff they need next year!

Sure, the kids will be hungry, and your spouse may get sicker and lose some teeth by not going to the Dentist, but boy, will you cut that spending!

Of course, you'll pay a lot for the refusal to pay those bills when you finally do pay them a month later, which of course you have to do eventually.

But think of the benefits of doing useless protesting when it's time to PAY the bills, instead of agreeing to spend less when you PLAN your budget!

Umm, I can't think of any benefits.
(Unless being the stupidest person in your family is a benefit).

But golly, that is just what the Tea Party in Congress is doing to the USA, and it's messing up the U.S. economy just as surely as your refusal to pay your bills would mess up yours!

And if the kids complain, insult them, give them a smarmy look as if you knew what you were doing (and even though your spouse is a lot smarter than you, act as if THEY were the idiot!). 

 Tell them they have to spend less money, even though they already cut back and gave up half their spending money already. Just LIE to them and tell them "the right time to focus on spending is when it's time to PAY, not when you actually SPEND the money."

They won't believe you, unless they are clueless morons. Or unless they are 26% of the American public.  


If they go talk about what you are doing with the neighbors, compare them to Hitler! 

Don't worry about being illogical, if you want to be a Tea Party Person you have to learn to ignore logic. Be sure to finish learning to ignore facts first, which we learned in Lesson 1.


One final thing, even if you could borrow money by refinancing your house at today's low low interest rates (and save thousands of dollars), and even if you could invest some of that money to take a class and finish your Masters, which would give you a raise of about 20% more than what you make now, DON'T SPEND THAT MONEY. 

Oh, no, because the way to help your family is to cut spending no matter what.  And when you  don't get that promotion because you don't have the skills because you didn't invest in training, don't worry. With less spending you won't need a promotion, you can just do with less. Your family will understand, because they know that they have to sacrifice so that your rich Uncle can get even richer! You can always get support from the government, then blame it on the Democrats!

Then you will be a real Tea Party Person! First, pretend you want to balance the budget. Second, make sure the richest members in your family don't give you any money to help with the kids' medical bills, just don't take your child to the Doctor. Third, cut spending for food, don't invest in any training, and fall behind the rest of the people at work. Then when you lose your job, you will REALLY spend less money, because you won't have any! 


 You will then be a real Tea Party Person!

Pay no attention to the (damn) liberal next door, who now makes twice what he did last year due to the training he took, and whose medical bills are far reduced because he invested in healthy living and eating, and who can afford to send his kids to a good school, so they will also make good money. Ignore him, and ignore his friend that old-school conservative too (you remember him? The smart one you threw out of the Neighborhood Association last year for talking to the Damn Liberal?). He is using reasoning, he is looking at what worked before and doing that. DON'T FALL FOR THAT!

It's too intelligent. YOU are an American. A White American! This is your country, and whatever those English people are doing, ridicule them! They're foreigners from across the ocean, you just can't trust 'em. 

 No, that liberal is wrong, the way to get ahead is to cut off all your spending, period.  So what if it hurts your family? You can rest happy in the fact that your wealthy relative is still rich. And you still have your gun.